Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Eyes $74K

Bitcoin (BTC) price prediction for February 25 shows bulls defending the $69,000 level after mounting an aggressive recovery from Tuesday's dip near $60,000, while Ether (ETH) has reclaimed $2,000 amid a notable uptick in investor confidence. Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows of $257.7 million on Tuesday — the strongest single-day haul since February 6, per SoSoValue data — indicate that institutional capital continues to treat pullbacks as accumulation windows. However, not all on-chain signals are encouraging, with both Santiment and Glassnode flagging concerning metrics that suggest caution remains warranted in the weeks ahead.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: $74,508 in Focus

Bitcoin surged from the $62,510 support on Tuesday, underscoring vigorous demand around the $60,000 floor. The aggressive buying at dip levels suggests that market participants view this zone as a compelling accumulation area. Bulls are now working to push BTC above its 20-day exponential moving average at $69,375, a crucial level that could unlock a rally toward the $74,508 breakdown zone where bears are anticipated to mount heavy resistance.

On-chain analytics firm Santiment noted in a post on X that BTC's correlation with traditional equities has broken down significantly over the past six months. During that stretch, the S&P 500 climbed roughly 7% while Bitcoin fell 43%, representing a dramatic divergence from historical norms. Yet the data provider cautioned this disconnect is unlikely to last forever — if BTC reverts to its historical pattern of tracking stocks during economic expansions, it "may have significant room to catch up," Santiment noted.

On the bearish side, Glassnode warned that Bitcoin's realized profit-to-loss ratio, measured on a 90-day moving average, has slipped below 1. Historically, breaks beneath that threshold have resulted in at least six months of net loss realization before the metric recovered. This data point introduces a significant element of caution for short-term traders. Should sellers successfully defend the 20-day EMA and force a sharp rejection from current levels, the $60,000 support comes back into play, with a potential drop to $52,500 if that floor ultimately fails to hold.

If BTC follows its historical pattern of tracking equities during economic expansions, it may have significant room to catch up.

How Are Major Altcoins Performing?

ETH, XRP, and BNB Technical Levels

Altcoins are showing signs of life after a bruising sell-off, with several large-cap tokens bouncing sharply from key support zones, indicating that selling pressure is diminishing across the broader crypto market. Ether (ETH) reversed higher from the $1,800 floor on Tuesday as buyers work to keep the token trading inside the $1,750 to $2,111 range. A decisive close above $2,111 would signal that bears are losing their grip, potentially sending ETH toward the 50-day SMA at $2,540, a level where sellers are expected to re-emerge. However, a sharp rejection at the $2,111 ceiling could extend the sideways consolidation for several more days.

XRP mounted a sharp recovery to its 20-day EMA at $1.46, suggesting buyers are attempting a meaningful comeback. A confirmed close above that level would open the door to $1.70 at the 50-day SMA and eventually the descending trendline. Buyers will need to clear the hurdle at the downtrend line to signal a potential trend reversal. Failure to clear the moving averages, though, risks a slide to the February 6 low of $1.11 and possibly the psychological $1 level, where sellers may press their advantage further.

BNB rebounded forcefully from $577, confirming strong buyer interest near the $570 support level. A push above the 20-day EMA at $641 would bolster the bullish case toward $669 and eventually $730, creating meaningful upside potential. Conversely, a break below $570 would hand control back to bears and open a path toward the psychological level at $500, which could become the next major battleground between buyers and sellers.

Solana, Dogecoin, and Bitcoin Cash Outlook

Solana (SOL) briefly dipped under the $76 support on Tuesday, but bears could not maintain their foothold at lower levels. The recovery attempt faces resistance at the 20-day EMA near $87, and a rejection there increases the odds of a retest of $76 and possibly the February 6 low of $67. However, a close above $95 would serve as a pivotal signal that bulls have regained the upper hand, potentially targeting a rally toward $117. This is a crucial level to watch, as it would suggest broader momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.

Dogecoin (DOGE) turned higher from the $0.09 area, with bulls now attempting to clear the 20-day EMA at $0.10. Sellers are unlikely to surrender this level easily, however, and will strive to defend the moving average. Failure at this resistance heightens the risk of a drop to $0.08, and a close below that floor could trigger the next downward leg to $0.06. Buyers are expected to fiercely protect $0.08, as it represents the last major support before a deeper sell-off. Sustained trading above the 20-day EMA would instead point toward a move to the $0.12 breakdown level.

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) weakened after a sharp reversal from the 50-day SMA at $564, falling below $500 support on Monday. With the 20-day EMA turning lower and the RSI in negative territory, bears hold a clear technical advantage. Any relief rally toward the 20-day EMA is likely to be sold into, and a failure to reclaim the moving averages could push BCH toward $443. The first sign of strength would be a close above the moving averages, which could propel the pair to $580 and subsequently $600.

Hyperliquid, Cardano, and Monero Price Levels

Hyperliquid (HYPE) fell beneath the 50-day SMA at $28.10 on Monday, indicating that bears are attempting to take charge. Buyers are striving to push the price back above the moving averages but face stiff resistance. A recovery above the 20-day EMA at $29.31 would indicate demand at lower prices, opening targets at $32.50 and the critical $36.77 resistance level. Conversely, a rejection at the moving averages risks a descent to the firm support at $20.82. The next major trending move is expected to follow a decisive close above $36.77 or below $20.82.

Cardano (ADA) avoided a slide to its descending channel's support line, reflecting diminished selling appetite at lower levels. Bears failed to capitalize on the weakness, indicating a lack of conviction to push prices further down. Bulls are working to sustain the price above the 20-day EMA at $0.28, which could spark a rally toward the channel's downtrend line. A sharp rejection at that ceiling followed by a break below the 20-day EMA suggests the pair may remain range-bound inside the descending channel for a while longer. A confirmed close above the downtrend line is needed to tilt the advantage firmly in favor of buyers.

Monero (XMR) briefly lost the $309 immediate support on Monday, but bears could not sustain the lower levels. The relief bounce faces hurdles at the 20-day EMA near $346 and then at the breakdown level of $360. A rejection from this overhead resistance zone points to range-bound action between $300 and $360 for some time. The advantage will tilt in favor of bulls if they manage to push and maintain the pair above $360. If they achieve that, the XMR/USDT pair may surge toward the 50-day SMA at $435.

What Does This Mean for Crypto Investors?

The broader crypto market is at an inflection point on February 25. Tuesday's $257.7 million in Bitcoin ETF inflows — the strongest in nearly three weeks — suggests institutional buyers remain committed to accumulating during pullbacks, according to SoSoValue data. The fact that multiple large-cap altcoins have bounced aggressively from key support zones indicates that selling pressure is easing across the board, creating potential for a broader recovery.

Still, caution is warranted. Glassnode's warning that BTC's realized profit/loss ratio has dropped below 1 carries historical weight — previous breaks below this level have preceded extended periods of net loss realization lasting at least six months. Traders should closely monitor the 20-day EMA levels across major tokens, as rejections at these moving averages could trigger renewed downside momentum. A sustained close above key resistance levels, particularly $74,508 for BTC and $2,111 for ETH, would signal that the worst of the correction is behind the market and that a meaningful recovery may be underway.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading decision involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research.